Brewers vs Reds odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, May 5 best bets from a proven model
Baseball’s worst team is aiming to right the ship Thursday afternoon in Milwaukee. After a winning season in 2021, the Cincinnati Reds are just 3-21 to start the 2022 campaign. That includes a 1-19 mark in the last 20 games, and the Reds face a hot team in the Milwaukees Brewers. Milwaukee is 17-8 overall and 7-1 in the last eight games.
The first pitch is at 1:40 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a -245 favorite (risk $245 to win $100) on the payline, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it scores, is 7.5 in the latest Reds vs Brewers odds. Before making Brewers vs Reds picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it’s off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 28-13 rollover on MLB’s top money line picks for four weeks, returning over $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Brewers vs Reds, and has just locked in its MLB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Reds vs Brewers:
- Reds vs Brewers money line: Brewers -245, Reds +205
- Reds vs. Brewers over-under: 7.5 runs
- Reds vs Brewers run line: Brewers -1.5
- CIN: Reds are 2-14 in road games
- MIL: Brewers are 9-4 at home
Featured Game | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Why you should support the Reds
The Reds have ugly numbers this season, but Cincinnati is not far off a strong offensive performance a season ago. In 2021, the Reds were No. 2 in the National League in batting average and doubles, with the top four ratings for runs scored, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. From there, the Brewers have some weaknesses this season, ranking 10th or worse in the National League in hits, strikeouts, batting average and on-base percentage.
Cincinnati can trust 22-year-old Hunter Greene to start the game on the mound, and he has 22 strikeouts in 18 innings this season. The former No. 2 overall pick will then give way to a bullpen that sports a rock-solid 3.69 ERA in 2022 with less than three walks per nine innings.
Why you should support brewers
Milwaukee has outstanding throwing projection in this game. The Brewers will start the game with Adrian Houser on the mound, and he has a 2.53 ERA in four starts this season. Houser has sported a 3.13 ERA since the start of the 2021 season, and he’s elite at keeping the ball on the ground. Houser is 55.3 percent on the ground in his career, and right-handed hitters have a hideous .208 / .281 / .319 slash line against him. Milwaukee’s bullpen is also outstanding with a 3.01 ERA and more than 10 strikeouts per nine innings.
Offensively, the Brewers also have the huge advantage, with Milwaukee ranking near the top of the league in runs scored, home runs, slugging percentage, total bases, and stolen bases. Cincinnati was the worst offensive team in the National League, ranking last in the NL in runs, hits, walks, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. The Reds also have the worst team ERA (6.68) in the NL in 2022.
How to make Reds vs Brewers picks
SportsLine’s model leans into the total, projecting 9.6 combined strokes. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks on SportsLine.
So who wins the Brewers against the Reds? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which way you should jump, all from the model who crushed his MLB picks, and find out.